ISSP is very likely to persist in its endeavours aimed at consolidating its presence in the Liptako-Gourma region and expanding its sphere of influence to neighbouring countries like Togo, Benin, and Guinea. This will likely involve clashes with military and opposing jihadist groups to solidify control over key territories within Liptako-Gourma. This expansion strategy will likely take advantage of the power vacuum caused by the absence of Western counterterrorism actors and utilise existing ethnic conflict to infiltrate the new territories, likely leading to heightened conflict and security concerns in the targeted regions. ISSP will likely strategically improve and employ more sophisticated methods like VIEDs and other explosives in confrontations with military targets and other jihadist groups, likely indicating a move towards more precise and advanced tactics.

The collaboration between Wagner and Alliance of Sahel States (AES) bloc in counterterrorism activities will likely challenge ISSP’s regional expansion goals, likely resulting in increasing opposition and potential setbacks for the group’s regional ambitions. The introduction of Africa Corp is likely to increase this uncertainty as it is unclear if the group will replace, rebrand, or work alongside Wagner. ISSP is unlikely to engage in collaborative dialogue with other regional jihadist groups, possibly hindering the group's ability to form alliances with potential partners and its prospects for further territorial expansion. This stance will possibly increase the animosity between ISSP and JNIM, possibly alienating potential allies and sympathisers hesitant to align with ISSP's rigid position.